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Archive for the ‘panama economy’ Category

Panama’s government is reporting that economic activity has increased 6.96% this past June in comparison to the same period last year. Panama’s economy still appears to be staying strong, despite the sinking dollar and turmoil hitting the markets in the United States and Europe. It will be particularly interesting to see if the trend continues as numbers continue to come out for the later summer months, when increasing gas prices and uncertainty in the finance industry put pressure on the United States economy.

Source:
Panama June economic activity up 6.96% vs year ago (Economictimes.indiatimes.com)

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The International Finance Corporation (IFC) is considering offering a $500 million loan to help Panama finance the current canal expansion. The project, which includes adding a third set of locks to the canal, has a current estimated price tag of over $5 billion. The expansion will allow larger ships to pass through the aging American built canal. The canal is a major component of Panama’s economy, directly and indirectly accounting for nearly 19% of the country’s GDP, and 41.2% of its export volume.

The IFC, a member of the World Bank Group, is primarily responsible for providing loans to major private sector projects in developing nations. The group predicts that the Panama Canal expansion will boost Panama’s real GDP by 0.6 – 0.8% at its completion. The IFC’s board of directors is expected to review the loan proposal as early as October this year.

Source:
IFC Mulls $500 Loan For Canal Expansion (Nasdaq.com)

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Panama is currently building the first diamond market in Latin America. The 50 story diamond bourse will include safes, a gemological institute, laboratories, polishing and cutting facilities, and a trading hall.The diamond market is expected to attract 300 traders, and will serve growing markets in Brazil, Chile, Mexico and Argentina. The $200 million project in Panama City is scheduled to be completed in 2010.

Despite modest diamond and gem production in South America, the region has relied on exchanges in the United States and Europe to supply gemstones for jewelery. The creation of a diamond bourse in Panama City will be a tax-free zone and is expected to lower the retail prices of diamonds in Latin America. The creation of a diamond market in Panama City, recognized by the World Federation of Diamond Bourses, will continue to increase Panama’s reputation as a major trade hub in the Americas.

Source:

Panama To Open Up Latin American Diamond Market (Africa.reuters.com)

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Panama has the highest rate of foreign direct investment as a percentage of GDP of any country in Latin America, says the Latin Business Chronicle. Panama’s $1.8 billion FDI contributes to 9.1 percent of the country’s nearly $20 billion GDP. Following Panama on the list were Chile, El Salvador and Costa Rica. Ecuador and Venezuela had the lowest rate of foreign direct investment of all of the Latin American countries. Despite Panama’s high foreign direct investment, Panama’s FDI actually decreased by 29 percent from 2006. Both Chile and Panama  topped the Latin Business Chronicles ‘Latin Business Index,’ which was published in May.

Source:

Venezuela: Lowest FDI per GDP (Latinbusinesschronicle.com)

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The demand for expensive gourmet coffee, as well as the high real estate prices in and around Boquete has forced some coffee growers in Chiriqui to encroach on protected park land. The ‘geisha’ coffee varietal, which is grown in the highlands near the border between Panama and Costa Rica, is considered to be the ‘champagne’ of coffee beans, with some growers fetching up to $130 per pound wholesale. A recent article published by Reuters says that while the current encroachment into Volcan Baru National Park is a relatively small fraction of the large park, the plantations threaten local biodiversity, a threat that is likely to increase given the high demand in North America for specialty coffees, and the rising real estate prices in the lower elevation areas of Chiriqui.

Traditional coffee farms operate under a canopy of trees, which can provide refuge for birds and animals, as well as supply the farmer with supplemental fruits and other beneficial products

From an environmental standpoint, coffee can be a tough issue to grapple with. As one of the most important agricultural commodities, it has a huge impact on many people, from the growers in Central America, Africa and Indonesia, to the Barista that pulled the shot of espresso for your latte this morning. It also has a major impact on wildlife. Large commercial coffee plantations, or sun plantations, often clear-cut habitat that would otherwise be the home of thousands of organisms, including many familiar bird species that migrate to North America in the summer.

Yet coffee trees are naturally shade loving plants, and shade grown coffee beans are naturally superior in taste to their sun grown brethren. Traditional coffee farms operate under a canopy of trees, which can provide refuge for birds and animals, as well as supply the farmer with supplemental fruits and other beneficial products. Many farmers in Central America still grow coffee in this manner, including many of those that produce the highest quality beans in Panama.

Regrettably it can be extremely difficult for consumers to differentiate between the ‘good’ coffee, and the ‘bad’ coffee. One of the most useful ways is to seek out coffee that is certified by a third party as shade grown, organic, and/or fair trade (and example being the Smithsonian Migratory Bird Center’s “Bird Friendly” label). Unfortunately not all certification processes are equal (the Rainforest Alliance’s certification has lower standards than Smithsonian), not all uncertified products are bad (as the certification process can be expensive and prohibitive to small scale farmers) and coffee that is certified organic is not necessarily shade grown or fair trade, and vice-versa.

The take home message from all of this is, as consumers, simply to be cognizant of where your coffee comes from, and what potential impact it may have on the people that produce it, and the wildlife that is affected by it. In addition to this, as real estate investors in Panama, it is important to be aware of the effects that higher real estate can have on local farmers. Invest in the local community, in local farms, and by purchasing sustainably grown local products.

For more information on shade-grown coffee, visit Seattle Audubon’s Shade Coffee Campaign website.

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According to an article in Property Wire, analysts have named Panama one of the top long term real estate investment prospects in the world. UK based firm David Stanley Redfern listed Panama, along with Albania, as the two best long term investments, with Panama’s sustained growth being a major factor in the decision.

“Growth is also significant in Panama. Since the government announced plans to expand the Panama Canal in October 2006, Panama’s economic growth has been around 11% year on year and property values have been growing at a recorded and sustained 25% per year over the same period, the DSR research found.

‘Panama is currently growing into one of the world’s main financial and banking centres, with good communications and first class world amenities. Panama’s dollar based economy is sustained largely by the Colon Free Trade Zone (largest in the western hemisphere) and the Canal, as well as services from the operation of the two including flagship registry and canal tolls,'”

While I there may still be reason for concern that the condo market has been overbuilt in Panama City, the strong economic growth, and the canal expansion currently under construction provide compelling evidence that buying real estate in Panama remains a strong long-term investment strategy.

Source:

Strong economic growth potential puts Albania and Panama top of long term investment list (Propertywire.com)

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Copa Airlines, the national airline of Panama based out of Panama City’s Tocumen Airport, has announced an order for two additional new Boeing 737 aircraft, which will increase their current order to nine new jets. The expanding airline currently offers nonstop flights between Panama City and locations in the United States including Miami, New York, Los Angeles, and Orlando. Copa Airlines serves a total of 22 countries in North, Central and South America, as well as the Carribean. The airline’s fleet currently has forty aircraft total, twenty seven of which are Boeing 737s.
 
Copa’s continuing growth is good news for investors, as it now has one of the youngest fleets in the Americas. As Copa Airlines begin to offer new routes and more frequent flights on existing routes, Panama City will continue to increase in prominence as a Latin American transportation hub.

Source:
Copa Airlines Announces Orders for Two Boeing Next-Generation 737 Aircraft (Marketwatch.com)

Photo of Tocumen Airport courtesy of Wikipedia.org

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A delegation of Louisiana politicians and business owners are visiting Panama, in hopes to gain support from the Panama Canal authority in opening broader shipping routes between the Panama Canal and the Gulf of Mexico. Members of the delegation include New Orleans mayor Ray Nagin as well as other politicians and business leaders from the city. New Orleans, still reeling from destruction of Hurricane Katrina, is interested in establishing ties with the canal, and is hoping to receive traffic from the large Asian cargo ships that will be able to traverse the isthmus once the canal expansions have been completed. The city’s plans to attract the shipping industry include a $500 million expansion to their ports. According to Nagin, “this is another step toward reclaiming this region.” 
 
The Port of New Orleans faces stiff competition from other American ports in the Gulf to attract traffic from the Panama Canal.  The Port of Tampa recently signed an agreement with the Panama Canal Authority to route traffic to their port, which is the largest in Florida.  These new agreements will be instrumental in bolstering trade routes between the United States, China, and other Asian countries.
 
So what does this mean for investors? For one, it shows the commitment of American ports in supporting the Panama Canal expansion, and Panama’s crucial role as the midpoint of trade between China and the east coast of the United States. In addition to this, members of the New Orleans delegation are also discussing opportunities to connect international flights between Panama and New Orleans, which would make Panama City and other locations in Panama even easier to access from the United States.
 
Sources:

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Panama’s ambassador, along with diplomats from 40 other countries, recently toured several high tech United States companies to learn about operating technology companies.  According to a post in the Wall Street Journal’s Business Technology Blog, Ambassador Federico A. Humbert Arias was particularly impressed with HP’s “Halo Room;” a video conferencing system that uses 50 inch screens to show the participants faces.  The ambassador expressed interest in the system, which he said would save time if incorporated into Panama’s embassies, as diplomats often return home for single days at a time to attend meetings.  The ambassador stressed Panama’s advantages in the world technology industry, as the country shares the same time zone as the East Coast of the United States, and that a large portion of the population speak both Spanish and English.  Other companies visited during the weeklong tour of California included Google, and Cisco.

Panama’s Ambassador was impressed with HP’s ‘Halo’ videoconferencing system

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For many US expatriates, one of the most appealing aspects of transitioning to life in Panama is the fact that Panama does not print their own currency (Panama does mint their own coins, yet they maintain the same dimensions and composition as the United States equivalents), having been on the United States dollar since the early twentieth century. For much of Panama’s history this was a good thing, as a small country they did not need to spend the time and effort operating a central bank, and have been able to rely on the United States to influence macroeconomic policy and keep Panama’s economy stable. Unfortunately, these benefits are helpful only as long as they dollar stays a strong currency, and as the dollar continues to fall in the United States, consumer confidence in Panama ultimately follows it.

There have been several interesting blog posts discussing the impact of the dollar on Panama’s economy recently. One, by American expatriate Richard Detrich, discusses the rising prices of basic commodities such as cement in the expatriate enclave of Boquete.

“I asked the price of cement . . . $9 a bag!! When we started building our house it was $1.50 a bag!! And since cement is the primary ingredient of houses in Panama . . . WOW! My present home overlooking the Valley, the river and the 9th Hole of Valle Escondido Resort now looks like an even better deal!

And that’s just cement! The price of steel has soared as well, along with anything that has to be imported, which is just about everything. I predict the building boom is going to slow and you’ll see expats grabbing the existing housing that is for sale. It may not be exactly what you want, but with the increased cost of building . . . to say nothing of the hassle . . . it might be wise to settle for something that someone else designed and built!”

It’s definitely a scary prospect for anyone interested in building a new home in Panama. You can read Mr. Detrich’s full blog post here.

Another post, in a blog written by former US Congressman Bob Bauman, discusses the history of relationship between the United States and Panama, as well as the potential negative impacts of the weak dollar being reflected in Panama. Here is an excerpt from his post:

“Shielding from inflation may have been the dollar’s virtue in Panama in the past, but not any longer.

Panama consumer prices are being hit especially hard due to the continuning devaluation of the U.S. dollar and its depreciating purchasing power.

Until now Panama’s use of the dollar has been a blessing as it kept inflation low and the economy stable. Now with the dollars decline, Panama is feeling the negative side of this relationship in every sector.

According to the Panama Comptrollers office, the price of food has increased 17.2% over last year, and many saw it exceeds 20%. Consumer prices in Panama rose 0.8% in May, while 12-month inflation at the end of the month was 8.8% as consumers paid more for gasoline and food.”

You can read Mr. Bauman’s full post here.

Both articles provide some interesting insight into entanglement of Panama in the United States economy. While the short term outlook is looking increasingly dreary for both the United States and Panama, Panama’s real estate industry is still booming, economic growth is still strong, and the canal expansion should help to bring jobs and wealth to Panama in the future. Now just to weather the storm…

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